Mafia #64 ? Cabin Fever - The Play

FF- Dag 283, Ice 286, JL 290, DD 401
Kash- FF 292, Annie 379, Dag 407, Rich 437
Tex- FF 307, FF 398, Razz 435
Ice- Annie 323, Wiz 414
Annie- JL 350, Ice 383, Dawg 427
DD- FF 360
Wiz- Rich 400

No votes: Kash, Wiz, Tex

1 HOUR LEFT
 
I had errands to take care of today that I couldn't get out of, so I had no chance to get online soon enough to post even half of the posts I needed to pull for you all. I hope you'll bear with me because there are important points for me to establish in less than an hour now before night falls... and I'm flat out of time for this right now.

From what I see from the votes, there's a good chance I'll be the one to die tonight. Looks like it's a run off between me and Annie. At this point, I could easily vote Annie now to tip the banishment in his favor and save myself. (I might even switch to Annie after placing this vote just before night because Lord knows Annie's given us plenty of GOOD reasons to suspect him and to banish him tonight... as many of you have established very well.) As there's no need for me to rehash those points (already addressed by others), I'll skip that in the interest of time to go on record now and place my vote on somebody else.

If I don't survive banishment tonight, I hope someone tomorrow will look further what I'm saying now in these following posts.
 
As I've posted after nightfall Day 1, I could see I needed to reevaluate everything I'd been focused on that day. Instead of joining many of you who jumped on FF right away (for making idiotic posts), I held off... dropped my original suspects (which erroneously based on my belief Lab Rab was evil)... and tried to figure out who our focus (and mine) should be on instead of all the distracting stuff we let get in our (my) way.

As I pieced together some notes for myself to analyse the nightfall results.. particularly Zaffy's death by the Madman... I decided there was too much focus being placed on the stuff which occupied us and distracted us so much. I'd been looking for scum... and many of you hold me singly responsible today for Lab Rat's death. Okay then, so be it. Just remember two things about that. (1) My vote and posting called attention to Lab and her scummy/defensive behavior... but it was other people voting her who made that ultimate choice to kill her. Also (2) that Lab got banished because Lab Rat set herself up by her own actions.

Blame me now for that and kill me tonight if you want to. My individual death now is far less important than the benefit it leaves behind as the rest of you continue to analyze Day 1, Day 2, and so on. Just make sure you look closely at who supported my incorrect judgement that day and who else ensured that the wrong direction I took... prevailed with the death of an innocent.
 
There has been much made about the (very) long post I made where I talked about my suspects (following nightfall). Ice made a point to say he didn't like it... he intended to "pick it apart" later on. Yes, I'm quite sure he did... until he looked at it more closely. Ice changed his mind after that... instead of bringing even MORE attention to what I wrote, Ice decided to dismiss it completely... claiming it said nothing. Ice then went on to push me/Wizard as leading suspects after that.

I believe Ice wanted the rest of you to ignore what I said because there was something there he did NOT want you to focus on. Once he dismissed my notes as unimportant, the rest of you were likely to follow suit.

Then someone else posted something about the fact that I left off certain names... particularly JL, Ice, and Dawg. (I think that was Dag?) That isn't actually true.. in the early paragraphs I named those 3 already as suspicious right after discussing the significance of Zaffy's death. After pointing out what I said about those 3 people, I then went on to talk about the other players.

I'll repost a portion of that here now, with the more important items highlighted. This is a rough cut/paste thing, but someone can pull the original text later on.

Since lab rat was innocent, that means my whole suspect list is crap. So I needed to reevaluate and figure out what i'm missing. This being Day 1 posts, that might not get me anywhere.. but I still have to give it a shot.

If Lab Rat had been evil, my top suspects would have been Zaffy, DD, Dag, and Annie because I felt someone among those names was working to prevent Lab from being banished. The fact that Lab was telling the truth and a townie means she was not communicating with either of these people. We know Zaffy was innocent too. So that leaves DD, Dag, and Annie for me to reconsider now. Their opposition to banishing Lab Rat was either genuine (if they honestly believed her innocent) or out of convenience (if they as accomplice wanted to appear somewhat cleared once her role was revealed).

Zaffy's seeming defense of Lab Rat made him seem scummy to me.. as was his lone vote on Ice. I don't believe Zaffy expected to get hit tonight either... the madman choosing him was a pretty smart move by the scum team. Zaffy was in a position to get himself lynched had Lab Rat flipped evil because he'd gone to bat for her so openly in the thread... and he wasn't posing a traceable threat to the madman based on his post content. So Zaffy was a rather strategic kill as a townie who was unlikely to get himself lynched anytime soon once Lab was revealed as innocent. He was also not very vocal by comparison and, therefore, wasn't likely to draw protection against their kill attempt. Someone on the evil team knows what they're doing, be that the madman themself or a well trusted accomplice. (Sure wish we knew if the accomplices were all volunteers or if they were selectively recruited on Day 1 by the madman.) ** Note -- Adding here that we now know the town's doctor just got recruited by the madman as an accomplice. Someone who was innocent and a townie PR on Day 1 is now working against the town. And it means a regular townie just got promoted to a PR.

The fact that the madman didn't kill someone like me, Ice, Dawg, or JL the first night also suggests that one of us is either a madman/accomplice... or... that we're so off-track with our suspects that keeping us alive another day benefits the scum side more than killing us would. Plus, it's usually just a matter of time before we'll turn on each other (if innocent), which only helps to further confuse the town. Each of our posts were rather definitive and we're well known for getting hit by the mafia, working hard to dig up clues that lead to the scum, and being rather difficult to lynch (or banish) for making bonehead mistakes.

Day 1.. while the town chased around in circles after Lab Rat and trudging through other distractions... we wasted time speculating about volunteers for accomplice roles.. Lab's behavior.. and the low level scummy players. What we did not look at were those players shrewd enough to recuit a townie PR to the evil team and smart enough to decide how important it would be for them to kill Zaffy. We're not looking for people dumb enough or self-focused enough to ask to join the madman... it's the madman himself who's been letting the town go the wrong direction.

Ice didn't want to pick my notes apart because his name was all over the place in what I wrote.. as was JL's and Dawg's too. So I believe Ice backed away and reconsidered that tactic either out of self preservation or to protect someone he was already associated with on scum side.
 
Kash I've pointed out numerous times that you left me off as a psychoanalysis but pointed to me as a possible accomplice when Dag was asking why you didn't list me on that list. I also pointed out that JL and Dawg also weren't psychoanalysised and asked Dag why he pointed out just my name and not theirs?
 
I have run out of time so need to post my vote

I vote to banish annie for the reasons I have stated earlier. I just haven't seen you do much to try digging anything up.
 
Pappy, what's the vote standing now?
 
FF- 1-Dag (283), Ice (286), JL (290)DD(401)

Kash- 3-FF (292)Annie (379) Dag(407)Rich437)


Tex-2-FF (307), FF (398)Razz(435)


Ice- Annie (323) Wiz(414)


Annie-4- JL (350), Ice (383)Dawg(427)Wiz(447)


DD-0- FF (360),



Wiz-0-Rich(400)


no votes: kash tex
 
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