Mafia #53.5 Rock the Vote
- Thread starter johnlarson66
- Start date
mostlycichlids
Cichlid Specialist
FireDancer7905
I'm in love!
mostlycichlids
Cichlid Specialist
jpappy789
Zaffy
OgreMkV
dirtydawg10
The Red Severum
Dangerdoll
jm1212
noodles62
rich311k
mostlycichlids
Lady G
luckydud13
AnniesNotOK
Rbishop
14 players and the game is still going. So at the very worst we have a 7-7 split, which would be right on the 25% mafia guess earlier since we've lynched Luv. However we do know that at least one mafia has UD'ed so far, so I don't think we are tied at the moment.
Either way its getting too close. We need to lynch a mafia tonight.
I still think at this point any investigation news would be helpful, that is if we have any cops still left alive. At this point the plan may be impossible.
Zaffy
OgreMkV
dirtydawg10
The Red Severum
Dangerdoll
jm1212
noodles62
rich311k
mostlycichlids
Lady G
luckydud13
AnniesNotOK
Rbishop
14 players and the game is still going. So at the very worst we have a 7-7 split, which would be right on the 25% mafia guess earlier since we've lynched Luv. However we do know that at least one mafia has UD'ed so far, so I don't think we are tied at the moment.
Either way its getting too close. We need to lynch a mafia tonight.
I still think at this point any investigation news would be helpful, that is if we have any cops still left alive. At this point the plan may be impossible.
Thanks rich, nice to know you are throwing out a vote based on a feeling. Have any posts to back this up? Or is it because I've called you out twice now?
By my calculations, 7-7 or 6-8, if Luckydud13 is innocent and goes UD, then it doesn't matter, we have to lynch a mafia tonight to stay alive. If Luckydud13 is mafia then we stay alive either way for one more night. Statistically speaking, the chances are that he is innocent.
I really wish we knew how many mafia there were to begin with or at least how many died the second night.
I'm thinking only one died, even though JL specifically said "at least one" as we just are not that lucky. Just a guess though.
Figuring in 2 down and 6 to go (as well as 25% mafia) at worst it is 8-6 in the innocents favor...I don't think there would be more than that, at least I am hoping not.
And then Lucky is the only one in danger of a UD (is that correct?)
So if we lynch an innocent, lose one to the hit, and have one innocent UD we lose 5-6.
If we lynch an innocent, lose one to the the hit, and have one mafia UD we are still in the game at 6-6.
Either way I do not want this to be up to chance depending on Lucky's role. We absolutely have to lynch a mafia tonight.
I know this basically just rehashed what Zaffy said but I needed to think out loud...
I'm thinking only one died, even though JL specifically said "at least one" as we just are not that lucky. Just a guess though.
Figuring in 2 down and 6 to go (as well as 25% mafia) at worst it is 8-6 in the innocents favor...I don't think there would be more than that, at least I am hoping not.
And then Lucky is the only one in danger of a UD (is that correct?)
So if we lynch an innocent, lose one to the hit, and have one innocent UD we lose 5-6.
If we lynch an innocent, lose one to the the hit, and have one mafia UD we are still in the game at 6-6.
Either way I do not want this to be up to chance depending on Lucky's role. We absolutely have to lynch a mafia tonight.
I know this basically just rehashed what Zaffy said but I needed to think out loud...
