Mafia 73: Werewolf Game!

I didn't play the first game so no help here. I don't think it's particularly relevant as neither did FF he's fairly new isn't he. I think FF did pass some comment on numbers in the sign up thread so I'll go back and look for that before I post a guess.
 
what?
innocent of a werewolf makes no sense to me
if of = or
then the answer is I don't know - do you know?

Thanks. no i dont know.
you seem to know her well so i was hoping for some insight.



kashta. do you think jm is suspicous?

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Kash, I find myself thinking similar thoughts about Zaffy and jpap seeming to have a tag team approach. Zaffy has an excellent game when scum, he lays low, jokes around, and throws the occasional jab. Mainly, he's very good at muddying the waters and confusing the town.

While jm has come out scummy with claiming he's never seen joke votes on day 1, I'm not ready to vote for him yet. Last game, when he was a vampire from the start, he laid low and went with the popular vote so as not to attract attention to himself. You saw through that act, do you think he's scum and has switched up his style?




As far as number of flea-infested scum, I haven't read or played the old werewolf games so my guess is only a guess. Since we discussed that this is not a team building game (and from the rules, only when the alpha wolf is alone will any turns have a possibility of occurring), I would assume that FF went with the typical ratio of 25% scum to 75% town. We know FF had Dag on his list twice...this leads me to believe FF would base the number of scum off of 16 players instead of the 15 who are actually playing. Even if he did correctly count 15 players, having only 3 wolves in a non-team building game seems too low, with scum being 20% (percent would only be lower if he based it off of 16 players). Starting with 5 wolves seems too high of a percent (33% of 15 players, 31% of 16 players). My guess would be 4 flea-ridden scum bags that cannot tolerate being bathed in full-moon light.


User_name: :thumbsdown: PRs should not be discussed.

About JM... I'm not sure which way to go on him. Based on his early posts by themselves, I see him as scummy too. But not so much for initially making a fuss about all the jokes... even though I was joking around a lot myself at the start, I usually have a low tolerance for nonsense and fluff posts too (and much of the role play stuff). So I probably identify more with someone else who gets annoyed the first day.... more so than most other players here would.

Not long ago, Wizard did the same kind of thing. He jumped in acting too serious too early on Day 1 recently.... and he nearly got lynched for it even though he was innocent.... (and just being impatient). The town read that as scummy, though.

On the other hand, if that wasn't a slip on JM's part... then look how fast so many vocal/active players were to jump all over him for that. One right after the other. There are 4 votes on him and we're getting nothing much of anything to look at from anyone else. That definitely seems overplayed, if you ask me.... and that supports a view that JM may not be a threat, but (some) of the evils are taking this chance to push us in the wrong direction so we'll take out an innocent for them.

What I can say is I always get an uneasy feeling when we all (collectively) pounce on someone Day 1 and it becomes a sudden landslide vote. I also get worried when we get caught up in a fast 2 or 3 horse race... because most of the time, all of those choices leading the votes turn out to be townies.

I'm still having trouble with the numbers, which is frustrating (for me). I rely an awful lot on my spreadsheet. But if we can't narrow this down enough for me to track the numbers as we go... it means I'm stuck playing this round without benefit of my usual "system" for working out the analytical stuff.
 
kash, that answer is very helpful. thank you.

Posted on mobile.aquariacentral.com
 
I didn't play the first game so no help here. I don't think it's particularly relevant as neither did FF he's fairly new isn't he. I think FF did pass some comment on numbers in the sign up thread so I'll go back and look for that before I post a guess.

That's the other problem with this, Chill. As long as I've already spent trying to skim that game and still keep up with this one... I'm beginning to doubt FF as game mod, even, would have the attention span to go through it all himself. So even if we had the right numbers from there to figure out ratios (total number of players are different)... that still doesn't mean FF would apply the same percentages here, does it?
 
Thanks. no i dont know.
you seem to know her well so i was hoping for some insight.



kashta. do you think jm is suspicous?

Posted on mobile.aquariacentral.com

kash, that answer is very helpful. thank you.

Posted on mobile.aquariacentral.com

Well good.. lol. I answered that one before getting to your question.
 
Another thing is that turns don't come into play unless we kill all but the alpha. I don't think it is something we should really consider at this point if discussing strategy.

Okay, Pappy. I disagreed with you on this post earlier. Now after trying to work out the numbers based on that same game format they played before, I can see how it's just more confusing than it should be. So I revise my earlier position and tend to agree with you now that it's probably just counter-productive after all.
 
Kash if you can't figure out the first game with your attention to detail and love of analysis, how could FF possibly do it. Trying to understand his posts often hurts my head, trying to think like him may give me a full blown anuerism. But in his own words:

Well, i was thinking that they would start with the Alpha and another Wolf. But it will be around 25% if we go with a kill only game.

so kill with a saving turn, 25% of 15, pretty strawberry, flip a coin, disregard, start again, he probaly decided on 7. Sorry just messing around - he probaly went 3 but who the **** knows.
 
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Kash if you can't figure out the first game with your attention to detail and love of analysis, how could FF possibly do it. Trying to understand his posts often hurts my head, trying to think like him may give me a full blown anuerism. But in his own words:



so kill with a saving turn, 25% of 15, pretty strawberry, flip a coin, disregard, start again, he probaly decided on 7. Sorry just ffing around - he probaly went 3 but who the **** knows.

:rofl: That is so true!!

I came to pretty much the same conclusion, this being FF's game. He's certainly not going to approach this the same way I would. (I'm weird too, just in a different way... lmao.)

I know I get too fussy with numbers too... I just trust those more because playing hunches or coming up with theories usually gets me misdirected.

Thanks for pulling FF's post from the sign up thread. That's probably the best basis for us to go on as a starting point.
 
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