Mafia 2014 #1-- FF1 Simple--The Play

I vote flawwwwwwweeeeedddd.

The only fact I agree with is that the mafia team/don targeted Kashta (that could be just because she is a real good player)

Logic says if DD were around she would have voted Kash to save herself. The window to vote UN for a tie was very narrow.

Logic also seems to say therefore that the Don wasn't online to see what was going on and change the hit.

If JP is a member of the sum team than why not just tie the vote and go for a coin flip?

While I don't like voting a UD, like JP stated you don't learn anything. At the time of JP's vote there was only 1 minute left to get a vote in. Yes DD could have been typing it and still get it in, but that would have been a pretty big assumption.

Look at it this way, suppose it went to a tie; Kashta looses the coin flip and DD UDs, now if the scum were present or if the hit was on someone else then the town looses 3 not 2. With the small number of players in this game that is huge.
 
Ok, prior to responding to some other posts I figure I may as well post my loose suspect list:

Pappy - For reasons stated already.
User - If he put the hit on Kashta when it looked like DD was going to be voted and then left like he claims he did, it would explain why Pappy voted DD to ensure the hit went through.

Again, loose. Not sure on the Don yet, but if Pappy flips evil I'd be inclined to vote User. Oh, on that note: I vote to lynch Pappy. still open to change if I think someone else looks scummier.

Just a quick comment here. FF, I do recall a game where the scum team won when you were scum with JB. You also survived that game because JB's strategy was to turn you loose and free to post as you always do.

I am seeing too many I can't be scum because posts starting to arise.

Ouch, hit with my own logic. Fair enough, though I don't *think* I've claimed not to be scum yet - only that there is no way there could be a team that is completely incompetent. Though I can see how that can be interpreted into "I can't be scum because noobish" or somesuch.

I vote flawwwwwwweeeeedddd.

The only fact I agree with is that the mafia team/don targeted Kashta (that could be just because she is a real good player)

Logic says if DD were around she would have voted Kash to save herself. The window to vote UN for a tie was very narrow.

Logic also seems to say therefore that the Don wasn't online to see what was going on and change the hit.

If JP is a member of the sum team than why not just tie the vote and go for a coin flip?


So wait, you don't agree that, by using basic math of 2+1, Pappy could have caused the votes to be tied by voting User OR Kashta, bringing it to a vote of DD 3 Kash/User 3? And you don't think that pappy wanted to ensure 2 townies die rather than 1 in a game with so few people and such a small margin for error?

Also, was it really necessary to post that giant "flawwwwwwweeeeedddd"? The math is sound, and no one has explained HOW the logic is flawed, assuming the hit was locked on Kashta and Pappy didn't want to risk the hit and the lynch being the same person.
 
All I have to go on is a bunch of WIFOM crap right now. I have been released to work light duty so let me throw some thoughts out there before I clock in.

I have already commented on UN and FF.

Yesterday morning, 2H came on and initial thought from his posting was that he was trying to railroad me to the noose but no one bit or ran with it so he dropped it. What I mean by that is he was concentrating on bringing everything I said up to everybody but not committing himself to anything himself leaving the ability to back out if no one starts to bite. This is a tactic I have seen used by scum often.

Speaking of non committing, Zaffy has proven to be active but hasn't really kicked any bushes to this point. His posts have been relatively generic.

I really don't know what to think at this point as I can't actually pull any posts to prove or disprove anything yet.

Night fall will come and go before I get off work so I will check in at lunch to place my vote. Once placed I will not be able to change it.
 
What other, less risky options are there? What assumptions do I keep making? Why do both you and wiz keep mentioning my assumptions in a game based on 'assuming' that everyone is your enemy and 'assuming' that people you vote for are scum based on what you've come to know?

As for you being Don or not, if you ARE than you could have either a) wanted Kashta out of the way regardless (for example, if wiz is scum as well and you were worried she would be able to tell [just a thought btw]), or b) thought she was a Good PR. Not being the Don would mean that, possibly, User is the Don, since he had to leave prior to nightfall. Also, are you using the "I did this therefore I cannot be the villain because it's way to conspicuous" argument to defend yourself?

As for who the Don is? Well, I honestly don't know. If it's you than you would have had reason for hitting Kashta, even if not there must have been a reason. The missing Don is probably the main weakness in my logic here :)



In regards to timing, it wasn't until recently that I came to that conclusion, and I didn't feel like posting any more half-baked thoughts and getting yelled at for it so I didn't post until I was fairly certain what my theory was. In all honestly, my gut feeling could be based off of something else, but it more or less clicks with what I said here so I doubt it.

Now, what do you have against the fishing I apparently did? Certainly it's better to fish and see who bites than to not do anything at all right?

I'll be back some time tomorrow, I've got to sleep now.

I'm not getting into an argument over semantics regarding assumptions and the mafia game. The very large difference, though, is that you are making a lot of assumptions based on things that would be happening behind the scenes in the scum den ie. the whole decision behind the hit. Nothing in the thread indicates why that decision was made other than Rb's post showing that Kash was the hit.

You're ignoring the fact that the scum could very easily gotten 3 innocents last night. I acknowledged that fact around nightfall and you're sorely mistaken if you think I wouldn't play to that advantage if I had the chance. Allow DD to UD on her own, try to make sure another innocent is in the lead, and not put the hit on someone who was very close to being lynched. We know that at least Kashta was close to being lynched, but that wouldn't have worked if the hit was on her as well. Thus, the only way that would have back-fired was if the vote was locked in on Kash and the hypothetical scum-me had no control over it as the votes became closer.

If I were Don, this makes even less sense. I could have easily piggy-backed onto Kash (tieing her with DD at 3-3), placed the vote on someone else, and let the coin flip decide how many innocents were gone N1. At best 3 innocents gone...likely at least 2 unless the doc made a miraculous save. To think that I would be that fixated on hitting Kash N1, without any regard to the advantage the scum could have gained, is absolutely foolish.

My intention isn't to necessarily say I would have done X, Y, and Z if I were mafia...my intention is to show you the possible holes in your theory and see your responses. The fact that you keep rolling out these ideas that essentially assume I'm mafia, without any dissenting thoughts, tells me you have an agenda against me. I'm curious as to what you are waiting for regarding your vote as well...validation?

And lastly, I have issues with your fishing because you basically said you were hesitant to vote me (and Wiz) D1 and then D2 you come back with this "gut feeling" without any substance to back it up. When no one bit, you came up with this underwhelming theory about how I tried to make sure Kash was the hit. I'm always concerned when people just float names out there...and even more concerned when their only evidence isn't very convincing.

Hey all been keeping up with the thread but had a hard time getting time to actually post. Sucks to see Kashta go, not sure what to make of her being hit while up on the block. Something is definitely rotten in the scum den(mark) if the hit came there. Part of me wants to say a hit could've been the result of her shaking the bushes a little D1, but then again it could just as easily be setting up those who voted for her (2h and Bally I believe).



I never said that he was doing a particularily good job of doing it, but he was making an attempt. Whereas with DD there was absolutely nothing there, and I feel like with a smaller game and nothing else to really go off of (aside from FF's erratic play and Bally and Kash's disagreement on what a joke is), it made sense to vote her. At the time there was only one vote on DD, I don't see how that would be voting the scums way when there were only a couple votes on the board at that point with no clear leader. Me adding a 2nd vote to DD is no different then you adding what you "thought" would be the second vote on her as well.

Which makes your whole "the scum must like how things are going" line more cliched and unsettling. Since there were (I believe) only two total votes at the time, and no way of knowing who would be voted out, why would the scum be any less concerned?

I don't think FF was as concerning with who he voted as much as he was concerned with getting the game going. I think FF is uncomfortable when a game starts, and he manifests his anxiety by posted whole bunch. As far as Wiz suggesting that I shouldn't be lynched without good reason; I'm flattered first of all, and to an extent I agree. But it can be a double edged sword. I don't think it applies when FF is the one throwing a vote around. In this context it serves to make FF look bad.

So where do you stand then on Wiz and FF? Maybe you could also comment on FF's theory since that's a fairly large discussion point at the moment.

Also, with the potential to have 3 innocents killed last night when DD failed to appear, I have a growing suspicion of the votes on me. Both Wiz and Zaffy come out looking scummy here in my opinion, as Wiz changes his vote from the likely UD DD to me. Zaffy then follows suit with a really weak post that Wiz made him "think". I know you later addressed this, but the lack of reasoning given before nightfall leads me to suspect that one (or both) could be scum trying to set up for the triple kill on the first night.

Yes, you could argue that their argument was flimsy but so was everybody else's votes D1. However, notice their choice in target. Me and FF are clearly the weakest players in the game (no offense), and I have a history of UDing and causing issues. With such weak cases for voting, it makes sense for the scum team to try for the trifecta by setting up an easy target and trying to get last minute votes on them. Given FF's absudity on D1, I could see why scum would lay off of him so he could continue throwing the town off and potentially creating drama D2.

That is probobly meant to be read in full tin foil atire, but considering the way nightfall turned out it makes sense. The only thing that bugs me still is why hit Kash when she was up for the vote. If she was on the voting block D1, then why let not let her slide and try to lynch her D2?

UN, this post just seems like a whole lot of OMGUS...if both Zaffy and Wiz are scum, why not both hop on Kash? That would pretty much ensure an innocent would be lynched (I was the only vote other than DD's left). Both were also clearly around to make sure the hit was on someone else, and with DD UDing they may have gotten their three.

I'm not saying that either of them are innocent, I have reservations about both, but this theory makes even less sense than FF's. There's no logic in trying to start a completely different train without any already established votes that late in the day.
 
"If I were Don, this makes even less sense. I could have easily piggy-backed onto Kash (tieing her with DD at 3-3), placed the vote on someone else, and let the coin flip decide how many innocents were gone N1."

This should say hit, not vote.
 
Pappy, my theory is a bit of a stretch I admit, and yes it makes assumptions - but so far the only other theory for why the hit was on Kashta that I've seen is that the scum team is incompetent, which is (as I've stated before) the most illogical possible theory to make in a game without any real 'noob' players. Do you have any more logical theories?
 
Ok, prior to responding to some other posts I figure I may as well post my loose suspect list:

Pappy - For reasons stated already.
User - If he put the hit on Kashta when it looked like DD was going to be voted and then left like he claims he did, it would explain why Pappy voted DD to ensure the hit went through.

Again, loose. Not sure on the Don yet, but if Pappy flips evil I'd be inclined to vote User. Oh, on that note: I vote to lynch Pappy. still open to change if I think someone else looks scummier.



Ouch, hit with my own logic. Fair enough, though I don't *think* I've claimed not to be scum yet - only that there is no way there could be a team that is completely incompetent. Though I can see how that can be interpreted into "I can't be scum because noobish" or somesuch.




So wait, you don't agree that, by using basic math of 2+1, Pappy could have caused the votes to be tied by voting User OR Kashta, bringing it to a vote of DD 3 Kash/User 3? And you don't think that pappy wanted to ensure 2 townies die rather than 1 in a game with so few people and such a small margin for error?

Also, was it really necessary to post that giant "flawwwwwwweeeeedddd"? The math is sound, and no one has explained HOW the logic is flawed, assuming the hit was locked on Kashta and Pappy didn't want to risk the hit and the lynch being the same person.
FF, you really need to look at the timing again. Zaffy's vote on UN, which brought it up to 2, was posted literally one minute before my DD vote, which was literally one minute before nightfall. If you think that I somehow have the ability to stop time so I could consider NOT voting UN because I wanted to ensure the hit on Kash, then you are really reaching.

I somewhat understood what you were saying before, although it certainly has some flaws and caveats...but you clearly aren't putting genuine thought into this push for me...
 
FF, you really need to look at the timing again. Zaffy's vote on UN, which brought it up to 2, was posted literally one minute before my DD vote, which was literally one minute before nightfall. If you think that I somehow have the ability to stop time so I could consider NOT voting UN because I wanted to ensure the hit on Kash, then you are really reaching.

I somewhat understood what you were saying before, although it certainly has some flaws and caveats...but you clearly aren't putting genuine thought into this push for me...

Ah. You are correct in regards to User, but he isn't really involved in this except that he was an extra option. Remove any reference of User, because the argument I have isn't based on User, it's based on wanting to ensure that DD was lynched so that the hit would definitely go through on Kashta.
 
So quiet and an hour before nightfall, which leads me to believe the scum like where this is going. Really want to see where everyone else votes to get a better feel for tonight, but I have a party to go in a few minutes and can't hang on here until 7. Rereading a bit more to see if anything really catches my interest
thru post #88.....

(0) Zaffy by FF1 14

(1) DD by FF1 77

(1) Kashta by 2Hobbs 85


No other votes in/retracted....nightfall in a little over 1 hours....PMs as required please...


7 no votes/potential UDs right now......
There was one vote on Kash and one vote on DD when you made this post, if you felt the scum were happy about where the night was going why did you throw your vote in with them?
I vote to lynch Kashta
Based on what I mentioned earlier about her quick acceptance of FFs answer and then her agreement with with Wiz to get the attention put on FF.
My vote was the only one between your last statement and your vote
Well, I really want to see more from DD, she hasn't posted anything of substance and Im going to hurt myself deciding if FF is being himself or scummy himself. I don't like Bally's question of what constitutes a joke, but at least it generated some talk. I guess for tonight I'm going to vote to lynch DD. I haven't seen enough to make a good judgement on anyone, and her absence seems the scummiest given how quiet nightfall has been.

I'll try and check in from my phone, but I can't make any promises. PRobobly can't post until later tonight sorry guys
She hardly posted anything at all...
You didn't like my question of a joke was, and I was the only vote before you while you "wanted to see where everyone else votes". So you didn't like my question about the joke and you didn't want to look at the issue with FF, so really you didn't see enough to make a judgement on anyone because you chose not to look at anything that had happened that day and just threw your vote on the person who was most likely to UD.
 
Pappy, my theory is a bit of a stretch I admit, and yes it makes assumptions - but so far the only other theory for why the hit was on Kashta that I've seen is that the scum team is incompetent, which is (as I've stated before) the most illogical possible theory to make in a game without any real 'noob' players. Do you have any more logical theories?
Not everything has to be a quasi-omniscient theory, FF. Have you even considered that I am completely uninvolved in any of this? It doesn't seem like it...

Either the scum hit was locked in on Kash and it couldn't have been moved or they just weren't paying attention to the count. Or some other reason that is unexplained because I can't begin to guess what's going on in the scum den with any sort of certainty.

I could very easily turn this around on you FF. You weren't around late in the game day to switch the hit. You could have felt threatened by Kash, who even questioned you D1 as well. If you really want to focus on the Kash hit, there are alternative that do not involve my vote on DD.
 
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