Mafia who done it! The Play

What you heard.....
 
Well Mad....who next?

(I still think Ice is mafia)

Alright, I've been giving this some thought. I'm hoping that we can all agree that Ogre is mafia. In addition to his claim of just voting Charlie to make him talk (and then getting stuck there by everyone else) he the mentions in a post that he 'KNOWs that I think Ice is guilty as heck.' We've also seen him hop off of HN (known mafia) last minute onto Ice (known innocent). Additionally, I've shown quite a bit of distancing from Beth on his part... his only input today was a couple of smileys....Ogre IS scum, and he wanted us to think so when he hopped late last night onto Ice (to draw attention off of someone on Hooked Newbie).

I don't believe that Ogre is the Colonel, though. His late move doesn't make much sense if he were the Colonel. LChap's late move onto Ice doesn't make much sense if he were the Colonel either, but I think that he may have just goofed when he jumped (which is why he scrambled back).

If you were the Colonel RB, you would have been able to hop onto me along with LChap, Ogre and Beth for a scum win. You didn't move, which makes me think that you're innocent....however, unfortunately, I'm not 100% positive (the extreme hesitancy to come off of Ice onto Hooked is making me a little paranoid now).

That doesn't matter, though, as I'm sure that Ogre is scum. That's all we really need. The town cannot win this game outright....we can only lose it outright.

If by chance we actually pick the Colonel to lynch, the mafia won't let that happen...they'll both vote someone else and it'll come down to a 50/50 flip.

If we choose incorrectly we lose outright.

If we choose Ogre (who is scum, but not likely the Colonel) we'll ultimately end up at a 50/50 flip again (either that night or the next day when it's 1 v 1). IMO voting Ogre is really the only logical choice...

I vote to lynch Ogre
 
Wow, that's pretty good Mad. It's neat how you eliminate all other choices but me... and... well... you. I don't think I ever voted for you Mad, so how could rb jump on the train?

Anyway, that's why I was so quiet today, all the mafia are so busy trying to look innocent that they vote for other mafia and forget to move.

I vote to lynch Madcrawdad... OMGUS!
 
Wow, that's pretty good Mad. It's neat how you eliminate all other choices but me... and... well... you. I don't think I ever voted for you Mad, so how could rb jump on the train?

If you had the numbers you would have...

Anyway, that's why I was so quiet today, all the mafia are so busy trying to look innocent that they vote for other mafia and forget to move.

Oh I see, so you weren't spending the afternoon avoiding all those 'red herring' questions and accusations about you that I've posted over the past couple of days... It's lynch or lose, and you decide to take the day off and let everyone else talk about the best way to save the town. Interesting.

I vote to lynch Madcrawdad... OMGUS!

So Ogre is an innocent? Well with 4 innocents vs 4 mafia last night we sure are lucky that the town didn't lose the game... you know, with you moving and hopping around on innocent Ice. As I recall you made your move pretty early, as well. It's a pretty good thing that the mafia was sleeping, or they could have easily moved onto Ice for the win. Whew, we really dodged a bullet there...NOT!
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Lchap.....awfully quiet all of a sudden...
 
I don't think there is anything left to say...everyone's mind is set. No one's going to believe anything anyone says, so might as well vote and wait for nightfall.

I vote to lynch RB

LChap, you must think that RB and I are scum then (as you voted for me yesterday).... Ogre voting for Beth apparently spooked you off of her, so it seems like you suspect him, too. Does none of the information out there on Ogre make you strongly like him for scum?
 
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