Mafia #6.....The Play

The Snitch Lists

Day 2: Mee-mee (Vig.), plantling, KOTD, Madcrawdad
Day 3: Sploke, bkw (Det.), Jensons
Day 4: KOTD, sploke, plantling, Jensons

Why would the Snitch recycle these names? Obviously they would not want to reveal too many Mafia. Day 3 is the best one to use as that makes it 50% of picking the Mafia. Of the two I am inclined to believe Jensons is the Mafia. On Day 2, I thinkMad is Innocent, so it is 50% between plantling and KOTD, of the two I think plantling is the Mafia. That would mean Day 4 the snitch listed two Mafia and two Innocents, again a 50% chance.

I think we should choose either plantling or Jensons. Even if we came down to tied votes on these two I think we would have a winner.

KOTD (I'm leaning KOTD Innocent) has voted for Plantling. So...

I VOTE TO LYNCH JENSONS

This is based mainly on their vote for me last night, and trying to play it off on Swayde (now a proven Innocent).
 
ZSandmann said:
For the record jpappy was a no vote yesterday.
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According to your list, King was also a no vote yesterday, right?

Z, here's my fear w/ Jensons....

You think that Plantling is probably mafia.... Plantling has been pretty willing to lynch Jensons, but was against lynching Sploke. Wouldn't it make more sense for you to want to go Sploke? We know he can't be a power player as all have been revealed (w/ exception of the Don which we can kind of deduce).

Not saying that Jensons isn't a good candidate, but I think we should continue to knock on doors before starting any lynch trains this early.

You mentioned that you think that you and Swayde were being played off of each other yesterday. Who might have been doing the playing? JohnLarson66 was pretty vocal (until I called him on it) that either you or Swayde had to be mafia....not saying that we need to lynch him today, but let's at least put his feet to the fire.
 
I felt that plantling and jl were pulling the marrionette strings. And Ogre stills is Innocent in my mind but there is just a hint of something in the back of my mind pulling. There are much better suspects currently however. I never got a Mafia vibe off sploke, maybe I just missed it as I seem to be pretty poor this round at picking anything right.
 
i vote to lynch jpappy.

he didnt vote yesterday, and i know trust z's list as i know hes innocent 8).

Sorry for starting such a train on you z, i was wrong. But, even though i was wrong about you, dont be wrong about me. I see i am high up on your mafia list, and i dont really see a reason why other than attacking you previously.
 
btw, the don may not be dead, he still may be very much alive and well.

I think the secret identity is a more probable thing to happen, then us to have gotten the don. Still keep your eyes out, and realize that even if bkw did investigate the don, he would have showed up innocent.
 
I'll report all this. I didn't see what I was looking for so maybe someone else will.

Vote examination (no it's not a test)

6 players (the currently appropriate number of mafi?) did not vote for charlie last night: JohnLarson, Sploke, Dangerdoll, mee-mee, Jensons, and, of course, charlie.

Now, two of those players are dead: Dangerdoll and charlie, leaving four of interest.

Two players did not vote: jpappy and KOTD.

So we're up to six players of interest now: Jensons, KOTD, jpappy, sploke, johnlarson, and mee-mee, but she's innocent.

Did the entire group of innocents manage to all vote for the same player? NO. mee-mee is innocent and she voted for ZSandmann. So at least one mafia voted for charlie.

It seems that DD was the Don. I don't think that's out of reach, but I'm not going to assume it for now.

Jensons is the only person of interest to vote for Zsandmann. Previosuly, she voted for nick, Ice, Ice, and Madcrawdad (curiously, with Ice)

Sploke's previous votes were for: Nick, Ice, Mike, And Ice (lead the way on the charge that got Ice lynched)

KOTD: No vote, Swayde, DP (last vote), Mike, and no vote

JohnLarson: Sway, Sway, DP, Mike, and Sway

jpappy: No one, DP, Ice (swing vote), Mike, Madcrawdad

Now, for my own interests, I would add Plantling: charlie, nick, DP, Sway, and DP

Also, DD: Zsand, Sway, DP, Mike and Mike

Now, for the sake of arguement, let's consider what we now know is true. Ice is the doc, charlie is mafia, Sway is innocent, Zsand is innocent, mee-mee is innocent, Mike, DP and Nick are innocent.

It is rather striking to see who did not follow the detective. It is also slightly instructional to see who they were after early one. Everyone was on the Mike Trains, so that doesn't really help, but no votes when the detective comes out?

JohnLarson has been after Sway, the whole game, even after she becomes a known innocent.
 
joander123 said:
i vote to lynch jpappy.

he didnt vote yesterday, and i know trust z's list as i know hes innocent 8).

Sorry for starting such a train on you z, i was wrong. But, even though i was wrong about you, dont be wrong about me. I see i am high up on your mafia list, and i dont really see a reason why other than attacking you previously.
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jo: Based on my list, if you are not a Mafia, and we assume there are 5 Mafia left, who would you drop into your spot?
 
ZSandmann said:
Last Night's final votes.

Day 5: 13/15
DID NOT VOTE: jpappy, KOTD
Swayde: 2 -- Ogre (1699) Zsandmann (1731) johnlarson66 (1732) sploke (1779) Madcrawdad (1808) Plantling (1816) KOTD (1835)
ZSandmann: 4 -- Swayde (1716) joander (1747) DangerDoll (1756) mee-mee (1909) Jensons (1941) Charlie_stubbs (1945)
Charlie Stubbs: 7 -- Ogre (1843) Plantling (1845) Madcrawdad (1847) bkw (1850) mee-mee (1898) joander (1924) Swayde (1925) ZSandmann (1939)
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ZSandmann said:
Here is the complete voting record to date, hopefully someone can pick up on a pattern I've missed.



Day 4: 15/17
DID NOT VOTE: DP, bkw1982
Swayde: 5 -- Zsandmann (1343) johnlarson66 (1407) KOTD (1417) sploke (1436) Ogre (1440) Plantling (1549) Ogre (1555) DangerDoll (1607) Ogre (1610)
Nickmcmehan: 8 -- Charlie_Stubbs (1366) MadCrawdad (1413) joander123 (1437) mee-mee (1475) sploke (1603) nickmcmehan (1612) Jensons (1661) MadCrawdad (1678) Planting (1681)
Zsandmann: 1 -- Swayde (1412)
Dwarf Puffers: 1 -- johnlarson66 (1404) jpappy (1596) Plantling (1598)
Sploke: 0 -- Ogre (1558) Madcrawdad (1551)
Ogre: 0 -- Swayde (1333) Plantling (1585)
MadCrawdad: 0 -- Ogre (1521)
Jpappy789: Zsandmann (1332)
Johnlarson66:0 -- Madcrawdad (1322) nickmcmehan (1446)

Day 3: 17/19 Votes Cast Night at 4AM CST Friday
DID NOT VOTE: bkw1982, DP
Dwarf Puffers: 6 – Zsandmann (1052) johnlarson66 (1091) Plantling (1148) DangerDoll (1229/1230?) Zsandmann (1248) IceH2O (1253) mee-mee (1292) KOTD (1310)
Ogre: 2 – Charlie_Stubbs (1121/1279) Swayde (1169)
IceH2O: 7 – sploke (1209) Ogre (1218) joander123 (1220) Cory Lover (1226) Jensons (1246) MadCrawdad (1268) Zsandmann (1297) jpappy789 (1301)
Charlie_stubbs: 1 – nickmcmehan (1211)
Zsandmann: 1 – joander123 (1262)
Madcrawdad: 0 – Charlie_Stubbs (1071) Swayde (1088) Ogre (1136) IceH2O (1242) KOTD (1309)
Mee-mee: 0 – Charlie_Stubbs (1089)
Swayde: 0 – Zsandmann (1219)

Day 2: 22/23 Votes Cast Night at 7PM CST Wednesday
DID NOT VOTE: Judgemax, jpappy789
MadCrawdad: 5 -- IceH2O (488) charlie_stubbs (519) MikenDanielle (541) Swayde (580) clown-lover (582) Cory Lover (638) Hooked Newbie (669) mee-mee (728)
MikenDanielle: 12 -- bkw1982 (511) joander123 (512) johnlarson (609) Dwarf Puffers (676) DangerDoll (735) MadCrawdad (808) Ogre (813) nickmcmehan (818) Charlie_stubbs (829) sploke (844) KOTD (859) jpappy789 (872) IceH2O (975) jpappy789 (1036)
Hooked Newbie: 1 -- ZSandmann (535) jpappy789 (633)
IceH2O: 3 – Jensons (710) Cory Lover (955) nickmcmehan (967)
Swayde: 1 -- Ogre (496) Plantling (817)
JudgeMax: 0 -- ZSandmann (501)


Day 1: 20/24 Votes Cast Night @ 4AM CST Tuesday
DID NOT VOTE: Judgemax, Swayde, Hooked Newbie, KOTD
IceH2O: 3 -Hooked Newbie (69) MikenDanielle (72) nickmcmechan (170) sploke (432) Ogre (444)
MikenDanielle: 8 – Zsandmann (76) IceH2O (82) Coler (122) clown-lover (123) Charlie_stubbs (124) Coler (222) Corey Lover (227) Dwarf Puffers (272) mee-mee (390) ZSandmann (393) DangerDoll (396) Ogre (413) joander123 (424) bkw1982 (469)
Swayde: 2 – johnlarson66 (161) MadCrawdad (174) joander123 (190)
Dwarf Puffer: 2 – jpappy789 (162) Ogre (165) MikenDanielle (212) MikenDanielle (401) Plantling (463)
Johnlarson66: 0 – Swayde (166)
JudgeMax: 0- Zsandmann (189) Coler (290) MikenDanielle (292) Swayde (293) sploke (306)
MadCrawdad: 5- Hooked Newbie (339) Coler (395) mee-mee (398) Jensons (427) IceH2O (438) jpappy789 (465)
Click to expand...


Good idea, Ogre. I'm just reposting Z's voting lists for all 5 days in case folks want to review...
 
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