JL, I am still confused as to why, if you truly are the policeman, you do not want to lynch Annie. Do you think Annie is the mayor?
JL, I am still confused as to why, if you truly are the policeman, you do not want to lynch Annie. Do you think Annie is the mayor?
Right now here is what is important to me: 1) The mayor does not get lynched, 2) That I do not get lynched and C) The mayor investigates me.
If I am not who I claim I am, what would I have gained? What would have my goals be? To get FF1 lynched, they were doing a good job of that in the first place. To get the policeman to come out, really this helps the mayor if I am found to be mafia, they will know exactly who to look into the next day. To have the mayor waste a day looking at me, this is no waste as the mayor will know if I am mafia or not.
I know that annie is not the mayor.
I want to prove that I am the policeman. Me making it JL vs annie only helps annie's case that he is the policemen and I came out to make him come out. He came out as an act desperation.
The people that would choose me over annie, I think would be willing to lynch FF1. I also think the ones that have their doubts about me would be willing to lynch FF1. The ones that think I am lying, they will vote for me.
Even if annie and I are both mafia, what have we gained? We got rid of FF1 and put gaint targets on our backs. Oh and we cost the mayor 2 nights of looking for teamates.
I do want to lynch annie, just after I am confirmed as who I say I am.
And to continue with why I think voting Annie out is so very essential to the town...
If you are innocent, especially if you are the real policeman, then it is very obvious that Annie is scum. No innocent would ever role claim like that unless they actually had that role. A mafia scum would. This is why I am voting Annie. This is why Annie needs to be lynched tonight. I do suspect he is the don, we can win this thing tonight by lynching him. If I am wrong about him being don, and you are really not mafia, we still lynch mafia scum by lynching Annie.
If FF is lynched instead of Annie, the scenario I outlined in the post prior could very well happen. You and he are both skilled enough players to pull off such a stunt, though it is (in Kash's words) a hail mary.
You and JL both make really good points. I wont be changing my vote so i hope you can get more people to vote for annie. Good luck.
Finally, some feedback! Thanks jpap, I've been trying to poke holes in my theory all night, but everything had an explanation for why it worked.
As to #1 and #2: yes, it hinges on that they are both mafia, and not only mafia, but I'm sure Annie is the don simply from JL's behavior. If someone could explain JL's behavior any other way, PLEASE do so! Why would someone RCing policeman even hesitate to lynch someone counterclaiming it? If you know your role, like I assume JL does, why wouldn't you take out the lying party? The only feasible explanation was that JL has a lot to lose from taking out Annie...Annie has a lot to gain from taking out JL. If Annie were regular mafia scum, not the don, the situation would not make sense. So I agree with you there. This means only one investigation would have been required to be successful. There have been two (one pre-nightfall, and one after night 1).
As to #3: When I was formulating the theory, turning it from every angle, I thought the same thing at first. But then I realized that I wouldn't RC if I were the policeman in the middle of this mess. Why? Because I would not want to throw myself into the mess and possibly get my policeman self lynched. I guess someone else would take a different approach, but the real policeman, knowing there is a real possibility one of the two that has falsely RCed will get lynched, would be doing the town a favor to let these two with some ulterior motive get themselves lynched. That's kind of a mess, so simplified, if you know your role, which is so important to the town, is being claimed by two liars, why would you throw your name in the ring with them? I think it would be foolish and detrimental for the real policeman to step up at this time.
I think your counter-conspiracy theory is interesting and I'm truly flattered that you think I could come up with something like that. If I didn't know my role then I could see where that could be entertained as a possibility. But it doesn't explain JL's behavior and why he refuses to vote for Annie when he's 100% sure Annie is lying scum.
Can someone please explain JL being 100% certain Annie is a scummy liar yet he 100% refuses to lynch him to me??? Like I said, the only plausible explanation is JL working with Annie to clear Annie's name.
And to continue with why I think voting Annie out is so very essential to the town...
If you are innocent, especially if you are the real policeman, then it is very obvious that Annie is scum. No innocent would ever role claim like that unless they actually had that role. A mafia scum would. This is why I am voting Annie. This is why Annie needs to be lynched tonight. I do suspect he is the don, we can win this thing tonight by lynching him. If I am wrong about him being don, and you are really not mafia, we still lynch mafia scum by lynching Annie.
If FF is lynched instead of Annie, the scenario I outlined in the post prior could very well happen. You and he are both skilled enough players to pull off such a stunt, though it is (in Kash's words) a hail mary.