Mafia #70: The Time Vortex

I'm perfectly willing to stake my life and the consumption of a mousepad on Z's status of being a mafia.

I kinda want to vote Zs because it's a win/win. If Zs is scum, win. If he's not, then Ogre eats a mousepad and posts video to youtube, win. :thumbsup:

At this point, I'm not sure what to make of Ogre's insistence that Zs is scum. I know there have been games when I've just KNOWN someone was scum and it really is frustrating when others won't listen to you, even when you know there is no legit reason for them to believe you. Of course that can also be used when you're scum to get an innocent lynched. So I'm a bit torn. I'll leave my vote where it is for now.
 
Ok, I'm dead on my feet, and still have some work to do before bed (ugh!), but I wanted to check in.

I'm totally bummed that we lost LadyG. Totally sucky that they got a turn, and HI RICH!!!! Yay!!! It's been a quiet day, and I've read everything since nightfall, but can't get a good handle on it all right now. Ogre's seeming kinda off, but he was before nightfall, too. Ddoll has been posting strange things, but maybe there is an explanation? It occurred to me while reading someone's posted rule from the witch game about a "babbling" spell of some sort, which might account for Ddoll missing the hints about our new adventure and seeming soo confused. I'm not sold on Z being mafia, and don't totally put stock in the if Z is mafia, then Ogre is not, and vice versa, because they wouldn't be the first pair to throw each other under the bus, though that wouldn't be a stroke of scum-brilliance if they only have 3 players. I still think that Rb is innocent, because of the headline, and am fairly confident that Rich is (because I assume that he was raised in the same manner that he died). Not sure where a vote will fall.

My brain is fried, and I've got to work a bit more. I'll be back tomorrow afternoon.
 
Alright folks, finally catching up with the old stuff. Found some interesting stuff (at least IMO) thanks to reading closely through some of LG's posts yesterday. She actually brought all of this up yesterday when voting Ogre, but I don't feel that Ogre answered her sufficiently.

So Ogre, if we could revisit this....

5/8 4:08 PM CDT
Here's where you make your bold "Z is scum" proclamation and vote for Z. Fine. You also go on, though, to say that you are "perfectly happy switching to LadyG if need be." Says to me, you feel pretty good that LG is probable scum...
Zsand is mafia.

I vote to lynch Zsand

He is playing exactly like every other time he's been mafia. He says things, but the things he says are of no substance. For example, the quote above. One line for Hooked and nothing for LadyG when almost the entier discussion of day 2 has been LadyG.

I am perfectly happy with a LadyG/Zsand vote run.

I know that Zsand is mafia. I am perfectly happy with switching to LadyG if need be.

I vote to lynch Zsand... again... until his head pops off and his guts are exposed for being mafia scum.

5/8 7:48 CDT
Here you point out to JB that you'd "be willing to put money" on Z and LG being mafia. Again, you must feel pretty good that LG is probable scum...
Now, for all that, I don't think you're mafia JB. I'd be willing to put money on the possibility that our final two mafia re Zsand and LadyG.

5/8 10:07 CDT
Here, after arguing for much of the day with LG, you act all upset and say "I will (now) happily change my vote to LadyG, who, until now, I didn't suspect that much." ... WHAT?!

You already said 6 hours earlier that you would happily switch to LG then. Then 2 hours earlier you said you'd bet money on her being scum.
And then you tell her that you hadn't really suspected her until right now.
For the THIRD TIME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Zsand is playing very much like he has in the past, when he's been mafia. He also wasted a vote on a UD. He also ignored the main topic of conversation during this day turn and voted for someone that everyone else has ignored (in terms of voting) today.

For those reasons, I choose to vote Z and move him to the head of the mafia list.

You however, I was more willing to give a pass on. Personally, I thought the whole 'code word' issue was bogus form the beginning. FISH!!! see?

However, your recent behavior (not the least of which is missing the three posts previously where I described my reasoning for voting Zsand (and including you on the suspect list) has really elevated you position in the mafia meter.


For now, I will leave me vote on Zsand.

I would REALLY, REALLY like to hear what others think of him as a mafia. However, if it looks like the voting for Z will go no further than me, I will (now) happily change my vote to LadyG, who, until now, I didn't suspect that much.

OTOH, I will continue to push for Z as mafia.

In the two posts below, LG points out the discrepancy with you 'just now' finding her strongly suspicious when many hours ago you were willing to vote her, and bet money on her being scum...
What stands out the most to me at this point is the fact Ogre put out there for a race between myself and Z saying he would be willing to go either way.
Then in a later post he said he didn't see me as evil until then? Why would he put a race out there to be between 2 players if he didn't actually think they both had a good chance at being evil at the time of the post.
He named me enough in his posts, then to turn around and say he didn't think much about me until that point????

I vote to lynch Ogre
Hmmmm, anyone else see how he "didn't until now suspect me?

I would like to know what others think about someone saying this much about someone then posting the last post. This is why my vote is on him

When LG pointed out the discrepancy of you being willing to vote her earlier, and then saying you didn't suspect her until now, you kind of brushed her off with a bogus answer. This doesn't answer for the discrepancy at all.
G, you're jumping all over me for voting Zsand based on WHAT YOU THINK I SAID (which isn't what I said).

Then you vote for me based on that...

You're doing the exact same thing that you think I'm doing, so how does that help your case?

I'll point out that I have two reasons over and above my 'gut' feeling to vote Zsand.

You have 'Ogre's vote is scummy' to summarize.

Why are defending Z so much?

Again you try to answer her charges, and give her a bogus answer... Note the reason that you claim that LG is voting for you. I'd say you're wrong, that's not even close to what she said, and you're just throwing a lot of words out there as a smoke-screen.
Let me try to explain... you're role in my list. I had you on the list as being potential mafia because I think that people with multiple votes who never voted Hooked Newbie were very likely mafia. There are a couple of reasons for this thought. One being that mafia may try to 'hide' or 'take the heat off' one of their own by implicating another player. If done with enough conviction and skill, there might be a sudden rush onto someone else. If that person comes up innocent, the day1 excuse is, of course, "Well, they looked evil to me."

But it didn't work out that way. We got a mafia on night one. There was a major push for two people. The Wiz and HN. If HN hadn't backed my vote on TheWiz, things might have come out completely differently. But he did and several people felt that was suspicious enough to vote him. Honestly, I didn't really agree, and I'm glad it went HN's way instead of TheWiz's.

That's why there are five people on the list that I posted very quickly after the new day began.

At that point, I had been following Z's posting for a while. He seemed to be playing more of a hiding game than not. The last two times (that I remember) him playing in this way, he was mafia. I believe that I have a tell on Z. I firmly believe he is mafia. There are other factors involved, which I have already posted three times.

Now, I would have perfectly happy with anyone else on my list being voted on and would have encouraged it. It happened that other players singled you out.

This was the gigantic discussion on the 'code words'. I personally feel that entire discussion was a complete waste of time. I really hope that the code words aren't the same as in the game that is being referenced... I would be very disappointed in Jpap.

For that reason I was willing to give you a pass and search elsewhere for mafia scum. I had lowered you on my list (BTW: I am very careful to try and type what I mean. If I say 'in no particular order, then I mean IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER. That happens to be the order of the players of interest on my spreadhsheet (except for noods, whom I discovered met the criteria after I started the post)).

However, you have continued on this bizarre quest to justify Z and vilify me. All you had to do was say, "I disagree with you Ogre. Here's why..." Then list some reasons. Instead I get statements like "He said this, but then said this." as if we aren't allowed to change our minds. We also get your 'interpretation' of my posts... most of which are incorrect as has been pointed out to you several times... and not just by me.

So, you see, your own posts have gradually raised your 'mafia' standing in my book.

G, you're attacking me for my vote on Zsand. That is defending Z. You're vote on me is an "OMGUS for voting ZSand" vote. If that's not defending, I don't know what is.

You realize that if Z is mafia, that you're pretty much doomed.

Now, I'm done. If you can't come up with something else to say, then try to find someone who is a better candidate for lynching.

I vote to lynch Ogre

Early on he's "happy to switch his vote to LG if necessary," a couple hours later he's willing to bet money on LG being scum, and a couple of hours after that he tells LG that he "just now" decided that she was really scummy. So why was he whipping out his wallet earlier? Doesn't make sense.

Inconsistency = Scum
 
...
Ddoll has been posting strange things, but maybe there is an explanation? It occurred to me while reading someone's posted rule from the witch game about a "babbling" spell of some sort, which might account for Ddoll missing the hints about our new adventure and seeming soo confused.

That's an excellent point, and it's from the Bio Badlands game, which would mean it would be in play for this day...

Copied & Pasted from Bio Badlands Game Rules:


The Lab Worker: One of the Townies, Harpo Dermic, and with normal genetics, is a disgruntled ex-Lab Worker at the Secret Facility. Upon his firing, he left with 4 vials of serum from the facility. He has no clue as to which one, does what. A wild guess on my part will mention that (1) of them causes instant death, (1) of them just causes a person to make a babbling statement, but (2) of them will genetically alter a persons DNA. (ie: evil to normal or normal to evil).

Lab Worker will PM me on Nights 2,3,4 and 5 with what vial number he wants to use and on who. I will make note in the thread that it has occured and what the vial did. Obviously if a death or babble, you will know who. For the genetic switching, you will not. The Lab Worker will not admit to anyone, in or out of the thread who was affected. And just in case the Lab Worker is taken out early, the vials will msteriously arrive in someone else's hands.

My guess is that the Disgruntled LabWorker did not send in the PM to use a vial, thus "he was no where to be found"......

Maybe they did use the babbling statement vial on DD. It would fit with the nonsensical stuff she's posted today. What I don't get is why a good PR would chance using the vial, since there would be the possibility of turning a townie into evil scum. The disgruntled lab worker would have to have been a good PR since they are considered a townie. :wall: This is making me not like my vote on DD so much. Right now I'm 50/50 between DD and Zs for my vote. Hopefully I'll have time to post more tomorrow, I should be able to check in from my phone at least.
 
It just occured to me that maybe if DD did get the babbling vial that's why she was asking why I didn't post the bio badlands rules as well. Would make us hopefully look at the rules again. Ugh, I've got enough doubt in my mind now that I retract my vote on DD. I vote to lynch Zs.

Ogre, I really hope you're right about him...I doubt mousepads go down well. I may still change my vote, Mad has made some good points as well.

Posted on mobile.aquariacentral.com
 
TRS- Zaffy 29, JL 297
Wiz- Ogre 47, Hn 50, JL 163, Zsand 274, DD 305, Rb 426, Jb 433, LG 438, Noods 445, Rich 450, Hn 600
Zsand- Kash 62
Chaz- Zsand 141
ILM- Lab 209, Zsand 300
FF- JL 211, Chaz 264
JB- LG 243
HN- FF 267, Kash 308, Chaz 402, Mad 470, Dawg 477, Fire 496, Jb 497, Wiz 572
LG- Noods 362
Mad- Fire 492
RB- Wiz 373, Zaffy 418, JL 542

No votes from: ILM, TRS

LG- Dawg 698, Noods 728, JL 731, Lab 748, Jb 877, Chaz 895, Kash 929, Rb 942, DD 945
Wiz- Zs 747
Zs- Ogre 755, JL 853, Noods 884, LG 926, Wiz 943, FF 953
Chaz- FF 801
Ogre- LG 849
Lab- Mad 850, Zaffy 930
Zaffy- Fire 918

Everyone has voted...nightfall in 30 minutes...
I hadn't seen the first two night's vote counts in one place, so I thought I'd put them here.

Ogre, we talked about curious things earlier... I found another one. For as vocal as you've been about how scummy Z is, this is the only time I can find where you adressed him directly:
Dude, this all happened (for me) before you dropped out.
And If I've got my timeline right, you only had Zs as a suspect before he had his long break. It was after his vote (which was his last post before the break) that you came out with your certainty about his scummitude.

It seems to me that you could have at least asked a question. You've said that you have reasons over and above your gut to suspect him, and I just can't help but ask... what are those reasons? You said you thought you had a tell, I'd like to know what it is.

I want to give Z some time to get back into the game before placing my vote, so it'll be place probably some time this afternoon. My thoughts at this point are that it will go to either Z or ogre. Actually, I wouldn't mind seeing a two horse race here. Though I don't think Ogre would be entirely cleared if Z flips scum.
 
FF, I'm curious... what was your new strategy for this game?
 
Mad, thank you for posting the quotes on Ogre's position on LG. That kept coming to my mind as I was addressing Ogre yesterday while I was busy trying to figure out how I came up scum if Z is innocent???? (still dont get that one!) You are absolutely right - too many inconsistensies..... I need to rethink things....
 
I found this conversation of interest.

"1: Wiz innocent who was a convienent choice as few people would argue with it. I cant really argue with it, just pulled up waring signs all over.

2: HN would be an innocent who accidently got pulled in, OR, HN is scum following other scum."

So now we know that HN was scum, where does that leave these theroies?

I really am starting to think that Ogre is scum, and that HN was the non-communicating scum, and he panicked and just followed ogre.

FF, I'm curious... what was your new strategy for this game?

Not posting to much, and go aggressive on others. Its working so far, helped get scum lynched day 1, also helped me not vote for an innocent(LG) day 2. Also to pay attention more.

Mad, thank you for posting the quotes on Ogre's position on LG. That kept coming to my mind as I was addressing Ogre yesterday while I was busy trying to figure out how I came up scum if Z is innocent???? (still dont get that one!) You are absolutely right - too many inconsistensies..... I need to rethink things....

Ogre is looking more an more scummy, He is now in first place, right b4 Zsand. My list from scummy to innocent it:

Ogre, for inconsistency and for being followed by scum 3 posts after he voted wiz. Seems to be very focused on saying nothing has changed. Getting defensive, very defensive, too defensive.

Zsand, for reason/s stated b4

Wiz himself, its either that breakfast borreto i ate or wiz is giving me a bad feeling.

Oh, and i know why th HOOT theory wont work:

retardowl.jpg
 
I really am starting to think that Ogre is scum, and that HN was the non-communicating scum, and he panicked and just followed ogre.



Not posting to much, and go aggressive on others. Its working so far, helped get scum lynched day 1, also helped me not vote for an innocent(LG) day 2. Also to pay attention more.



Ogre is looking more an more scummy, He is now in first place, right b4 Zsand. My list from scummy to innocent it:

Ogre, for inconsistency and for being followed by scum 3 posts after he voted wiz. Seems to be very focused on saying nothing has changed. Getting defensive, very defensive, too defensive.

Zsand, for reason/s stated b4

Wiz himself, its either that breakfast borreto i ate or wiz is giving me a bad feeling.

Oh, and i know why th HOOT theory wont work:

I shouldnt have quoted noods, that was a mistake.
 
AquariaCentral.com