It would almost be worth it now for hunter and priest to come forward, of course if we are wrong the priest is toast.
Back for some more reading.
Back for some more reading.
Mafia 54:Vampires Return (The Play)
- Thread starter IceH2O
- Start date
Annie:
I think Annie is a likely suspect and one of my top three. She did suddenly get more talkative yesterday and any change in behaviour is odd. I also get suspicious based on the compliments as if trying to make me not suspect them. Ogre's comment on investigating "Coler or Annie" made me suspect one or the other may be guilty.
Kash
Wouldn't surprise me if Kash was turned last night- in fact- I'm sure the Vampires had to consider her- given the fact that she was being considered as an almost certain "innocent".
Zaffy
Zaffy, I'm not as convinced as many on Zaffy- especially since the lack of attempt to save him, unless that is what Lan is doing. I think other than that- we know JM switched his vote off Zaffy- but at the same time JM had to switch to someone. I think Zaffy is a possible target- but I'm not certain of him.
Rocker
Rocker's late appearance scared me- was he waiting for instruction? Did he think he was dead and not turned and had to be PMed to reappear? The fact he was on the forum but not posting to Mafia made me suspicious... or was he just busy? It's hard to tell- but chalk Rocker up alongside Zaff and Angie as prime suspects for me.
Lanimret
I think Lan might have been a turn from last night. I also think if Zaff is guilty that Lan is guilty. However, if Zaff is innocent I don't think we can really say anything about Lan. Is the late trying to clarify rules a ploy to make us not suspect Zaff? Hard to tell. Lan is above most people's suspicions right now- which makes him a perfect turn suspect.
Rich
I don't know. Always have to suspect him. But it's hard to pin anything down on him- his posts sometimes appear suspicious even when not guilty. Was the call for the hunter to shoot JM distancing- or a call to rational. Rich could be the lead or the lesser vampire- or innocent.
Paperdragon
Paper Dragon is not suspected by anyone- she would make the perfect turn candidate... along with Lan and Kash- I suspect she would be one of the three most likely turns for last night.
I don't think she was turned the night before though- so I suspect if she's guilty she's not the lead.
That's my summary:
Zaff, Annie, or Rocker for Lead.
Lan, Kash, or PD as the lesser vampire.
I trust no-one at this point other than Coler- and only he because I investigated him. Tomorrow I can't say the same- I think Coler is the ideal target for tonight.
We still don't know the hunter. If the hunter came forward we would have one more known innocent.
I think Annie is a likely suspect and one of my top three. She did suddenly get more talkative yesterday and any change in behaviour is odd. I also get suspicious based on the compliments as if trying to make me not suspect them. Ogre's comment on investigating "Coler or Annie" made me suspect one or the other may be guilty.
Kash
Wouldn't surprise me if Kash was turned last night- in fact- I'm sure the Vampires had to consider her- given the fact that she was being considered as an almost certain "innocent".
Zaffy
Zaffy, I'm not as convinced as many on Zaffy- especially since the lack of attempt to save him, unless that is what Lan is doing. I think other than that- we know JM switched his vote off Zaffy- but at the same time JM had to switch to someone. I think Zaffy is a possible target- but I'm not certain of him.
Rocker
Rocker's late appearance scared me- was he waiting for instruction? Did he think he was dead and not turned and had to be PMed to reappear? The fact he was on the forum but not posting to Mafia made me suspicious... or was he just busy? It's hard to tell- but chalk Rocker up alongside Zaff and Angie as prime suspects for me.
Lanimret
I think Lan might have been a turn from last night. I also think if Zaff is guilty that Lan is guilty. However, if Zaff is innocent I don't think we can really say anything about Lan. Is the late trying to clarify rules a ploy to make us not suspect Zaff? Hard to tell. Lan is above most people's suspicions right now- which makes him a perfect turn suspect.
Rich
I don't know. Always have to suspect him. But it's hard to pin anything down on him- his posts sometimes appear suspicious even when not guilty. Was the call for the hunter to shoot JM distancing- or a call to rational. Rich could be the lead or the lesser vampire- or innocent.
Paperdragon
Paper Dragon is not suspected by anyone- she would make the perfect turn candidate... along with Lan and Kash- I suspect she would be one of the three most likely turns for last night.
I don't think she was turned the night before though- so I suspect if she's guilty she's not the lead.
That's my summary:
Zaff, Annie, or Rocker for Lead.
Lan, Kash, or PD as the lesser vampire.
I trust no-one at this point other than Coler- and only he because I investigated him. Tomorrow I can't say the same- I think Coler is the ideal target for tonight.
We still don't know the hunter. If the hunter came forward we would have one more known innocent.
Personally, I think the priest coming forward would be a TERRIBLE mistake. Zaff is far from certain- as is anyone else we pick today.
The idea being that narrows the lit even more. I did say it was dangerous as well.
I was thinking that it would get us down to 4 possibles. Did not really think the whole thing through just an idea.
I gather it was just a thought. If you are down to 4, the next night 3 etc. odds are not bad you get them before they get you. Provided of course the LV switch already happened once.
I agree not the best of ideas.
and of course the two rolls would have to be on your list of 6 as well. Ok the more I think of it the more variables involved.
never mind, carry on.
If I had to pick two suspects, and I admit the reasoning is seriously subjective, but really that is all we have at this point.
Kashta - Were i the lead, thats who I would have chosen. She was found innocent once (after being heavily suspected) giving her a lot of leeway. One of the most experienced players, and a perfectly capable LV for switching with.
Annie - Her posts recently and vigor in her accusations make me suspect. I doubt she's the LV though, highly.
I wouldn't completely rule out Zaff, Rich, Rocker, or paper, but if I had to guess those are my two.
Just incase I don't get back on later, I am going to vote just so I don't end up not voting before nightfall. Seriously subject to change.
I vote to lynch Kashta
One other theory by the way, a bit out there though, is that Wycco was turned 2 turns ago after he outed himself. He then turned Coler last nightfall, and then announced him innocent in order to totally allay suspcision. This is a worst case scenario because it would mean narrowing down the suspects becomes nearly impossible, we have no hope of forming a consensus, and the vampires will win.
Kashta - Were i the lead, thats who I would have chosen. She was found innocent once (after being heavily suspected) giving her a lot of leeway. One of the most experienced players, and a perfectly capable LV for switching with.
Annie - Her posts recently and vigor in her accusations make me suspect. I doubt she's the LV though, highly.
I wouldn't completely rule out Zaff, Rich, Rocker, or paper, but if I had to guess those are my two.
Just incase I don't get back on later, I am going to vote just so I don't end up not voting before nightfall. Seriously subject to change.
I vote to lynch Kashta
One other theory by the way, a bit out there though, is that Wycco was turned 2 turns ago after he outed himself. He then turned Coler last nightfall, and then announced him innocent in order to totally allay suspcision. This is a worst case scenario because it would mean narrowing down the suspects becomes nearly impossible, we have no hope of forming a consensus, and the vampires will win.
I could be wrong- but as I've explained before- I highly doubt Kashta is the lead vampire. It is very possible that she was turned last night- but the night before she was too quick on the ball posting a suggestion to have been turned and greeted her fellow vamps, etc... before offering JM as a lynch target.
Thus if Kashta is a vampire she is most likely only a lesser one.
Thus if Kashta is a vampire she is most likely only a lesser one.
