Mafia #70: The Time Vortex

Here is what I was talking about:



"At the beginning of day 2, 3 and 4, you will PM me on who one of the spells will be used on. You even get to pick the spell. Spell #1 - doubles the vote of one person that night. Spell #2 - Converts a witch to a townie or a townie to witch, after the affects of that night. Spell #3 - forces a player to not vote at all and not have any consequences happen."

If the spell was successful, it reversed the scums turn back to townie..
If unsuccessful, it could also turn townie to scum. Hopefully someone feels "better" today.

JB, idk if I'd assume jpap will let this night go on until a scum is hit. I hope he will clarify this as I'd hate to lose the GS if they shot you...though I guess we could lynch Kash if the game shifted. Maybe we could then have a dual lynch...hang Kash and Wiz together...

Now I'm wondering if the day 1 stuff between Kash and Wiz really was distancing.
Maybe Kash HAD to vote HN because we had a scum vs. scum race.

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Also a possibility that they were in different camps and unable to communicate...one demon and the other KGB.

Kash was on HN pretty early. Makes more sense to me that they were non-communicating.
 
OK... my take on events shortly after nightfall:
My first post indicating Kash. I put Noods in here too, mostly because I was still trying to hide my role at this point, so I didn't want to go directly after Kash. Keep in mind at this point, we had the invest results. I knew Kash was evil and was trying to figure out how to get it out there. This was at 942pm.
Noods' response. She was playing confused. But right around nightfall, she was complaining about people not really playing; now this is her first response. Anything to say for this, Noods?

JL's response. I'm going to give it the benefit of the doubt that this was his honest sentiment given that he posted quite a bit afterward.

As I said JL, all the gunslingers after Ice went by the town's list of who's naughty and whose nice (If you'll allow me to mix my metaphors) and Labby slid by the whole game. We need to be questioning people and getting them to post.

And then we get this from Kash:

Kash, I find this highly suspect as you were one of the gunslingers in the original game. You of all people should know that just waiting to see what happens is a recipe for scum victory. Anything to say to this?

To whoever has the gun: Ice did so well that game because he shot on instinct based on what he saw in individual people's posts. He did not wait and act on concensus. The rest of us did that. I can tell you that I hesitated on the instinct to shoot Labby 3 separate times. We lost the game for it.

I think the slip in Kash's post is a dead give away. She has gone through most of the game unchecked. I think this is that time. Noods isn't quite as suspect due to this response, but I'll be looking into both of these further tonight.
Based on this
My second post indicating Kash more strongly. I meant it when I said this is the type of thing Ice used in that game. 945pm:

I just saw this:To the bolded line: why is that Kash? 'Cause the GS would know I was right?

This is the type of slip Ice looked for and used successfully 3 times. I'll be looking into Kash before Noods.

Kash's response at 948pm. This is the only response I get from her even after coming out pretty strongly at her.

Yeah, JB. I had that gun for a turn too and I decided to shoot Dawg with it... which was a huge mistake. I decided then to go with my own hair-brained theory at the time. The other gunslingers who followed me DID choose targets based on the town's consensus and they were wrong too. It doesn't matter what the town consensus will be. Anyone could be pulling that trigger who isn't good at reading between the lines like Ice was.
Here we get a little break from the action as Kash adresses Zaffy and Labby a couple of times each. Kash's last post for the night comes at 1008pm.

At 1026pm, I post my long post about the case on Kash. Keep in mind, I knew she was scum but still wanted to keep my annonymity. I did my best to build a case which was admittedly tough. Though I think the thing of giving her scummates a chuckle in the thread with some of her statements was right on. Kash is a good player and hid her role well. I knew my case was flimsy, but hoped I could peak the interest of the GS.

Then at 1125, Wiz rides in on his horse and very adamantly does NOT defend Kash. He did well at first of not defending her. He came out pretty strongly at me though, which is really the same thing in my mind. I used this same tactic on him in fact in an earlier game when he started going after FF. I hammered him hard and he backed right off. It's not going to work on me, Wiz. I'm telling the truth.

I take a nap and suddenly from out of nowhere we have a player called JB.

By your own admission you were "laying low" early on. From my understanding. Isn't that looked at as scummy?

I know you said you didn't have anything to add. Early in the game no one has anything to add, all we have is questions and by asking our questions in the game we help the town to hopefully learn who is scum.

The last time we had someone come out swinging with "I know 100% that so and so is scum" we lost 2 innocents.

One of the points made to help lynch LG was she defended ZS. Then we lynched ZS. So that makes 2 innocents lynched because 1 person said "I know" and backed it up with "I am right on this"

What is the matter JB? I wasn't around for the gunslinger game but I guess what I am reading in the game must be true about being active because as soon as this day came into play all of a sudden you started trying to look pro town.

A sudden shift in game play like this from someone I hadn't looked at because they were playing like they always do sends warning signs.
Then Wiz responds to a comment Zaffy made. Wiz goes pretty far in twisting my words. If you go back to Wiz's original post, and look at what Zaffy posted; Wiz's interpretation is off. He's either mis-remembering or deliberately twisting what I said, and what Zaffy said. Wiz's post was at 1130.

Thanks Zaffy, I forgot about this but JB did state that the votes on HN were useless because he would probably UD. (or something like that I don't recall exactly)
Between then and 1254pm (the time of Wiz's last post for the evening, we get some beautiful examples of not defending someone:

No conflicting statements JB. As you highlighted in the first part of my post, I had just woken up from a nap so I may not have worded it plainly enough.

I was referring to the fact that your play up to this point is what I was used to from you.

You don't post much or often.

Now you seem like you are on a mission to kill Kashta which is quite the turn around.
I still don't get why you see me as a habitual low poster, Wiz. And yes, now that I have some real information that can help the town, my play changed. I think that's a pretty easy concept.

Again with the 100% sounds an awful lot like Ogre.

You will forgive me if I seem skeptical but, fool me once shame on you. Fool me twice shame on me.
Still, Wiz. I can understand not trusting, but you're totally shutting down the possibility that I might be telling the truth. Like I said before, I appreciate skepticism; but you're not a skeptic, you're a hata. And that, in this case; screams scum to me.

Yes let's look at Kashta's posts. I have read every post in this game. You have seen where I have gone through every post made by player's and brought out what seemed off to me.

That way the town can see what I see and make their own decision instead of trusting my word.

I have not seen anything scummy in Kashta's posts. If I had I would have put them out there for all to see.

I have not seen anything in the game to indicate that she is scum. You pulled a couple of her early posts about which game we were in I think D1.

There was a lot of conflicting ideas about which game we were in and some of us, myself included thought that too much was being made of which game we were in.

D1 nightfall and the clues JP gave showed me where it could be helpful to know.

I did not see you, however, pull any posts that showed anything scummy.
Quick question, Wiz... which of the bolded quotes do you consider to be the least defending of Kash? Just curious.

First of all, I think Kashta is quite capable of defending herself if need be. Secondly, I have just stated what I have seen in the game thread. You have not pulled her posts and shown anything scummy in them.

You pulled a couple of posts from early on and stated what you want us to see.

I am not always right and will be the first to admit it. Which is another reason I doubt anyone that comes out with claims of I know this to be fact.

Pull her posts and show me.

Your claims of I am 100% right on this without showing evidence are to bold to swallow.
Wiz has a good point in this post and I know it. I don't have enough in Kash's posts to convince anyone. This is where I start thinking of the RC.

Win/win for the town?

The shooter is an innocent. If the shooter targets an innocent the shooter dies.

We have nailed 1 scum only and lost how many innocents? We are now in D4 and innocents are dropping like flies.

How can you say win/win for the town?

I think you better do as I suggested in my last post and show us with her posts where she is scum before another townie dies.
OOOOHHHHH... Wiz seems to be getting upset. LOL. I better do as he suggests.

I don't think that this is a very good statement to be making actually, but it is your funeral.

From what I have been told that is how the scum get townies lynched. Not to mention that is what it looked like you were trying to do when you first started this whole crusade of yours.

All I ask is for you to show me the evidence that makes you so 100%.

That way, if you are right the shooter can see it and make a wise choice.

Pull her posts and show us. You have been telling all of us to look at her posts, and you know full well that most of the people playing aren't or can't take the time to do that.

Don't ask us to do your dirty work for you. You made a statement now do the work to back it up.
This was Wiz's last post at 1254pm. I've done that, Wiz. I came out with the RC post at somewhere around 106am. It still took a while to make the final decision to do it. In the end, it seemed to me that the mafia would already know that I was CI because I came out so strong on Kash; so the town might as well know it too. It also seems pretty obvious to me that Wiz is defending Kash pretty strongly. Both by out and out saying "she isn't scummy" and by saying I am. It's not so much that you doubt me, Wiz; that makes me question you, it's that you refuse to even admit the possibility that I'm telling the truth.

After Kash and Wiz, I'm still looking at Ogre. The biggest difference between Ogre's case and mine is that he tried to hint at role claiming CI without doing it. This is why I think he's likely scum too. I still have doubts about Wiz and Ogre. Kash I'm 100% certain.
 
I see we've gone from "get everyone talking" so the gunslinger can make a better choice who to shoot.... to suddenly "let's just shoot right away" and figure the rest out later.

Nice plan you've got there, JB. Was this your idea or Ogre's?

I have some time this morning before some meetings later to read through all this stuff being flung at me since Pappy said "game on" so I'll start doing that now.

I'm happy to answer each post or question that was addressed to me. I see however that JB's been up all night building his case (based on nothing), was unable to produce the posts he claimed would show I'm scummy, and opted instead to fool us (or at least the shooter) into taking quick action.

Reading back in the thread now. Back shortly with a lot more to say.
 
IMO the GS should take the shot on Kashta. I beleive Jb as there is no reason and no benefit to falsely RC. Let's hope that the GS is one of the more active players and will actually be in the game sometime this decade.
 
Thanks Zaffy, I forgot about this but JB did state that the votes on HN were useless because he would probably UD. (or something like that I don't recall exactly)

That was exactly my point. But in light of new evidence I'm going to go ahead and put JB in the innocent pile with me.

Interesting...I think the GS should shoot Kash in light of JB's role claim. I doubt he would falsely RC at this point, scum team is not in danger where such a drastic move is needed. Jpap hasn't told us when this night is over...may be over with one shot or may go on until scum is hit. If Kash is shot and JB is lying we won't lose Kash. If we're still in the GS game then Kash can shoot JB...if not, we can lynch JB. I'm thinking that won't be an issue...

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I don't see any other option for the gunslinger.

Zaffy, reaches down to his holster with his eyes trained on Kash.


"You got any last words little lady?"

He pauses a moment, as if he cared what the scum thought. He puts his hand where his gun would be, but it's not there.

I'm not the GS:(
 
No Zaffy. The gunslinger doesn't shoot themself with the silly thing. That person isn't at risk at all. They target whoever they think is scummy. And if a regular townie was given the gun AND the mafia team got to pick their choice now... you think they're going to hand that to someone likely to aim correctly?

We'll be lucky if the slinger doesn't take out a physicist by mistake.

I don't like Kash playing dumb on how this format works. Kash played this format and knows full well how it works. As others have stated she was the one who had nearly a photographic memory when it came to the KGB game yet she doesn't know how this game worked? Even I remembered how this game worked and my memory is not nearly as good as Kash's...IMO.

Yeah, JB. I had that gun for a turn too and I decided to shoot Dawg with it... which was a huge mistake. I decided then to go with my own hair-brained theory at the time. The other gunslingers who followed me DID choose targets based on the town's consensus and they were wrong too. It doesn't matter what the town consensus will be. Anyone could be pulling that trigger who isn't good at reading between the lines like Ice was.

From the quote above she talks about her role in the gunslinger game. Yes you shot me Kash...and you died because I was innocent. You should have remembered that part too.

What do you guys think of Charlie and his lack of participation?

Horrible. Looks like he popped in just in time to keep from not having a post for 48hrs. This format you die for not posting within 48hrs. Wonder if that had something to do with it?

You're right, Zaffy. My bad. I read it wrong. We still don't know Dawg's role, so there's really no help there. Bit I am right about this. I wouldn't post so vehimently if I wasn't. Kash is evil.

We do know LG's role though and Kash voted for her too...an innocent.

Wiz, you don't think Kash suggesting that we all "wait and see what happens" is scummy? Here's my suggestion.

I suggest the GS either shoot me or Kash. If I get shot, I will turn around and shoot Kash. If the current GS shoots her, they will see that I am right and the town will have another confirmed innocent. If I'm lying, then I'm obviously evil and need to go anyway. If not, then Kash is evil and needs to go. Either way, it's win/win for the town.

I believe JB is telling the truth. It makes no sense for scum to role claim in this format. Even if they don't get shot and the game day changes...they will be lynched the next day.

Others may have put stock in your RC, but I don't trust it. based on the time stamp, it seems as a frustrated act from someone that could not produce what he said was there.

If the GS shoots the wrong person, we lose another innocent.

At this stage and format, I don't trust anybody.

My question to you now JB, why would CI come out in a game where all the scum needs to do is take out the PRs to win?

Scum does not get to shoot in this format, Wiz.

Twisting words? I never said can't, I said haven't. There is a big difference.

Apparently according to the post below, experienced players can even if the person isn't.

Which is another reason for my distrust of his claim.




Notice in the highlighted portion he says seem.

Also notice after a claim like that he still failed to produce any posts to back up his claim as I asked.

And now I am being suspected because I didn't want the town to get burned again like we did with Ogre.

What surprises me more is how willing some are to believe him when he didn't produce anything to back up his claim and then makes another claim that there is no way to back up.

Wiz, you never replied to the question of why you think it would be a good idea for scum to role claim. If they had the numbers to end the game...yes. But they don't seem to have the numbers to end the game with 1 innocent kill.

Short of posting the original PM form the Mod, which is against the rules, it is pretty difficult to "prove" your role when you role claim. There is no one stepping forward to claim otherwise, so why not believe him? If he is in fact lying (which I personally doubt) then the GS dies and Kashta winds up with the gun. Yes, we would lose one more townie but we would then have a confirmed scum to lynch next day. We still have the numbers in our favor so it seems like our best bet at this time, to have the GS shoot Kashta. JMO

I agree with Noods.
 
Before going back to last night's posts, let me address the matter of JB's role claim and why it makes no sense for a townie PR to make such a claim.

There is, indeed, very good reason right now to jump in with a false role claim. This also confirms in my mind that we were on the right track suspecting Ogre.

Win condition for the mafia... they win as soon as all the physicists are dead. They don't have to wait until half the town is gone.

I can also see the logic behind the scum side pulling a stunt like this. They already knew the town would lynch Ogre once we found out Zsand was innocent. There are 3 communicating mafia who must feel they can't afford to lose another teammate after losing HN on Day 1.

We're in the gunslinger format now, so a premature shot taken by the shooter based on yet another "new theory" pushed to convince them to shoot first and ask questions later will divert us away from Ogre and misdirect the shooter. Otherwise the shooter is likely to just kill Ogre because that's who we almost chose to lynch instead of Zsand.

All they have to do is pick any townie who's not been talked about much yet and urge the shooter to hurry up with their shot before the rest of the town has time to examine the proposed claim and post their input.

The end result... the mafia manages to avoid Ogre's lynch. Then the townie gunslinger makes the wrong choice and dies as a result instead.

With that shot taken, nightfall also comes faster than anyone expected and Pappy's time vortex kicks in again to take us to some other game format for Day #5. That gives them 48 hours to distract the town and (again) come up with another innocent townie to divert the town's attention away from who we would have otherwise gone after next.
 
I see we've gone from "get everyone talking" so the gunslinger can make a better choice who to shoot.... to suddenly "let's just shoot right away" and figure the rest out later.

Nice plan you've got there, JB. Was this your idea or Ogre's?

I have some time this morning before some meetings later to read through all this stuff being flung at me since Pappy said "game on" so I'll start doing that now.

I'm happy to answer each post or question that was addressed to me. I see however that JB's been up all night building his case (based on nothing), was unable to produce the posts he claimed would show I'm scummy, and opted instead to fool us (or at least the shooter) into taking quick action.

Reading back in the thread now. Back shortly with a lot more to say.
Actually, Kash; at the moment I'm giving myself credit for both! :headbang2: I've not only narrowed the GS's selection down to 2 people, but people are talking too!!!
 
For that matter...I don't believe a townie PR would come out at all this game. All the mafia has to do is kill the PR's (3 physicists) and they win. The game is over.

Even if that townie PR had invest results naming a known mafia player, all they have to do is make that person their next hit on whichever game day's format allows them to kill them without a lynch. Doing that rids the town of scum without outing a physicist in the bargain and the mafia won't even know who got them. The mafia wouldn't know who to take out next to even up the number between the PRs on both sides.
 
I see we've gone from "get everyone talking" so the gunslinger can make a better choice who to shoot.... to suddenly "let's just shoot right away" and figure the rest out later.

Nice plan you've got there, JB. Was this your idea or Ogre's?

I have some time this morning before some meetings later to read through all this stuff being flung at me since Pappy said "game on" so I'll start doing that now.

I'm happy to answer each post or question that was addressed to me. I see however that JB's been up all night building his case (based on nothing), was unable to produce the posts he claimed would show I'm scummy, and opted instead to fool us (or at least the shooter) into taking quick action.

Reading back in the thread now. Back shortly with a lot more to say.

I have a question. Why would a scum falsely RC in this format when they can't win by killing 1 innocent?

That was exactly my point. But in light of new evidence I'm going to go ahead and put JB in the innocent pile with me.



I don't see any other option for the gunslinger.

Zaffy, reaches down to his holster with his eyes trained on Kash.

"You got any last words little lady?"

He pauses a moment, as if he cared what the scum thought. He puts his hand where his gun would be, but it's not there.

I'm not the GS:(

I hate you...lol
 
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