I really like this post. I think the conclusion is far fetched, but it may have some nuggets in it. When we take a razor to the theory and cut out all the fat, I think it comes down to this.
Noods caught Razzs slip. When a teammate catches someone else there are two options 1. Hope nobody else catches it. or 2. Call them out.
1. This is a big game, almost 20 players, with many vets. Hoping that none of these players sees what Noods saw is a risky play. It's possible to lose your teammate on day 1 with no gain.
2. By calling them out, you assume the same risk in potentially losing a teammate, but you gain the potential to be cleared as a townie in many peoples eyes.
If Noods calls razz out on the slip, then she is obligated to vote him. She'd look very scummy if she didn't. When the town starts to take hold of the idea she drums up a story that something "piqued" her interest but she doesn't have time to explain or prove it. She then retracts her vote. For some reason that I don't think is ever really explained, she posts her vote on Tank and leaves it there until near nightfall.
30 mins before nightfall Noods is actively posting. At 20 mins untill night I switch my vote form JM to Razz, this takes JM off the block and puts Razz there instead. Noods posts again. With 9 mins left Mad calls noods out and shows that she can break the tie, and save the town from a no lynch all by switching her vote to one of her "suspects."
With 2 mins left she finally switches her vote and we kill scum on night 1, Noods is a Hero!
What bugs me, is why wait until so close to nightfall. She could have switched as soon as I made my switch. If she wasn't thinking about it, no big deal. But she went back and forth with Mad over it.
Maybe she was hoping someone else might come in and break the tie and lynch Cnote instead?