Mafia #64 ? Cabin Fever - The Play

From the rules -

If the bellhop for some reason is taken out of the game early, another innocent will be granted the role and will gain possession of the suitcases if any are left.
 
So in one night, we lost the detective, bartender and bellhop.

I thought for sure that FF was the bartender, when he was asking about the bartender role.

Now that we know all three of these people were power roles, I think it explains why they were suspects.

I think Kash's late vote on annie was just to make sure she was not banished. I also think if Kash knew for sure who was evil, she would have pushed hard early.

I really do not like the late votes coming in just before nightfall.

No one likes them, they just happen...
 
Nope, the late votes don't have to just happen. People can vote and always change them. Kash almost had a UD because she waited so long.

I find it odd that both Kash and the wiz waited until less than 15 minutes (I think less than 5 but need to check) before nightfall to place a vote.
 
Her late vote forced her to vote to save herself. it would seem she dd not have an evil on her list because I would think she would have voted for that person early and tried to get people to get on that person.

I find it interesting that both Ice and Jl are still with us. Leads me to think this is a creative evil team or one or both are the bad guys. from their posting and work I would say they are not but it is a thought.
 
Because, Ice.. the 3 of you were already covered at the top of that message.. and again at the bottom. I didn't need to go over those suspicions again.

I remember in one of my earlier games when DD was being lynched early on. Just before nightfall, she told us to not get caught up in all the little details and look at the overall picture instead. That was very good advice at the time in that game and it's something I try to remember for the rest of them. The best way I've found of doing that is to set aside what people say in their posts and look (more objectively) at voting patterns and such.

This being the first night and faced with 3 dead innocents... we still have very little to go on. But I've looked hard at where the votes fell to make an early estimation of role based on some generalities. Might as well, since my top suspect turned out to be innocent and the others I was leaning as most likely madman/accomplice were largely based on Lab being scum.

We don't know exactly how many evils there were yet before nightfall ended. I would expect whoever they were.. they would likely have scattered themselves among the top 3 candidates up for banishment, instead of all piling on just one.

From tonight's vote...

5 FF - JL Rich DD Dag Lab

Of the 5 votes on FF, we know Lab was innocent. I'm less inclined right now to suspect DD or Dag. That leaves either JL or Rich as likely evils from these players.

6 Lab - Kash Wiz Tex Dawg Ice FF

Of the 6 votes on Lab Rat, I'd probably pick Wizard, Dawg, or Ice over either Tex or FF right now. I can't tell if Wizard is fooling me/us in this game, so I'm no help trying to sort that out. If that's what he needed to do because of the role he was assigned, he'd be good at it. Dawg and Ice are also excellent scum candidates at any time. I'd guess at this point that either one or two of these 6 names are evils.... it's highly unlikely that all 6 of these people are townies. (And yes, to those of you who want to suspect me for being the first vote on Lab.. feel free.)

1 Ice - Zaffy

Zaffy held onto his lone vote against Ice. I'll have to go back through the thread to re-read the case he presented against Ice now that I know Zaffy was innocent and see who else was either suspecting Zaffy or disagreeing with his posts.

2 Tex - Annie Razz

Two votes stayed on Tex. Either of those could be evil or innocent. Since they didn't vote with the others, I'll lean both of them as suspicious.

So what does all this tell me? Not a whole lot... yet. But as an early stab at Day 1 vote analysis, this is what I came up with.

Town - Lab, Zaffy, Zsand.
Unknown - Dag, DD.
Scummy - Tex, FF.
Top suspects based on votes - Wiz/Dawg/Ice (voted Lab), JL/Rich (voted FF), Annie/Razz (voted Tex).

I am double checking, but did Kash color code this?
 
I still think Rich is too quiet for his own good... He may be hiding something.
 
Top suspects based on votes - Wiz/Dawg/Ice (voted Lab), JL/Rich (voted FF), Annie/Razz (voted Tex).

I am trying to figure out this color coding and what it pertains to and the order of the names.

I vote to lynch the wiz.

I think he was sticking close to Kash as a way to hide. I think he knew that she was on to him and he had her hit. It is also odd that he had me as his second suspect after Ice, but followed us both on annie. That vote makes no sense. He had to make sure Kash was not banished as that as who he was hitting.
 
Her late vote forced her to vote to save herself. it would seem she dd not have an evil on her list because I would think she would have voted for that person early and tried to get people to get on that person.

I find it interesting that both Ice and Jl are still with us. Leads me to think this is a creative evil team or one or both are the bad guys. from their posting and work I would say they are not but it is a thought.

That leads me to who of the others is that creative a thinker. There are several possibilities, I would think dawg or DD.

Or Dagamoth. Is Dag Lab's brother? I can't remember, but I think so. Dag might know us a little better than your average noob.
 
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